With the 22nd general election approaching in about eight months, the results of a public opinion poll came out on the 9th that the Democratic Party is fighting within the margin of error with the power of the people over the choice of voters.
Yonhap News and Yonhap News TV jointly requested polling company Matrix and conducted a regular poll (±3.1%p at the 95% confidence level) of 1,000 men and women over the age of 18 across the country on the 5th and 6th. To the question of which political party candidate would you vote for if tomorrow were the general election day, 31.3% of the respondents said they would vote for the people’s strength candidate.
27.4% of respondents said they would vote for the Democratic Party candidate.
Compared to the previous survey on the 1st and 2nd of last month, the power of the people increased by 1.8 percentage points (p), and the Democratic Party changed its ranking by falling by 3.2 percentage points. The gap is 3.9 percentage points (p), which is within the margin of error.
17.8% of respondents said they had no party support, a 6.3%p drop from the previous survey (24.1%).
2.7% of the respondents said they would vote for the Justice Party candidate, and 6.7% of other parties. 9.1% said they had no intention to vote, and 5.0% said they did not know or did not respond.
Specifically, 71.7% of those who positively evaluated the job evaluation of President Yoon Seok-yeol said they would vote for the power of the people, and only 3.8% said they would vote for the Democratic Party candidate.
Among those who negatively evaluated the job evaluation of President Yoon, 47.1% responded that they would vote for the Democratic Party candidate, and only 4.6% answered that they would choose the People’s Power candidate.
Compared to the approval ratings of the political parties in this survey, 76.3% of respondents who responded that they supported the people’s strength answered that they would vote for the Democratic Party, while 75.8% of the respondents who responded that they supported the people’s strength and the Democratic Party.
By region, Seoul (28.7% of the people’s strength, 27.7% of the Democratic Party) and Incheon and Gyeonggi (30.7% of the people’s strength, 28.8% of the Democratic Party) showed a close battle.
The power of the people is Daejeon · Sejong · Chungcheong (40.0% of the power of the people, 30.5% of the Democratic Party), Daegu · Gyeongbuk (51.6% of the power of the people, 13.5% of the Democratic Party), Busan · Ulsan · Gyeongnam (35.7% of the power of the people, 23.8% of the Democratic Party) %), etc., and the Democratic Party showed an advantage in Gwangju and Jeolla (7.9% of the people’s strength, 36.5% of the Democratic Party) and Gangwon-Jeju (17.1% of the people’s strength, 31.3% of the Democratic Party).
By generation, 53.3% of those over the age of 60 said they would vote for the power of the people, and 19.4% said they would vote for the Democratic Party. If you compare the survey of people over the age of 60 with last month (47.6% of the people’s power, 23.6% of the Democratic Party), the gap between the two sides has widened.
In the 30s (13.5% of the people’s power메이저놀이터, 28.5% of the Democratic Party), 40s (20.2% of the people’s power, 31.5% of the Democratic Party), and 50s (27.6% of the people’s power, 37.4% of the Democratic Party), the Democratic Party prevailed. In the 18-29 years old (22.9% of the people’s power, 24.8% of the Democratic Party), it was a close battle.
On the other hand, in relation to next year’s general election, it was found that the ‘regime check theory’ and ‘regime support theory’ were tightly opposed within the margin of error.
When asked about the perception of the desirable formation of the National Assembly through next year’s general elections, 44.9% answered that ‘the opposition party should become the majority in order to keep the government and the ruling party in check,’ while ‘the ruling party should become the majority to empower state administration.’ The response was 40.2%. Don’t know or no response was 14.9%.
The survey was conducted through a phone interview using a mobile phone virtual number (100%), and the response rate was 14.5%.
For more information, please visit the website of the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee.